DemiBob wrote:II think it's safe to say that leagues negatively impact regulation dueling.
Actually, it's not that safe.
DemiBob wrote:It actually looks like we do have less dueling now than we did 1-2 years ago, and the assertion that some of that could be from league burnout isn't an insane assumption.
The numbers *have* been done before, but I really don't have time to dig them up at the moment.
http://www.duelingzone.com/dz/reports/shiftreports.cfm
The reports I compiled ran from 2004 to 2012, and only represent DoS, but it does a pretty good job of showing trending over time. We've definitely dropped from our 2004/2005 starting point.
It's entirely arguable that the leagues/recurring events, IFL, Ragnarok, Hyda, Madness, etc. do help inspire activity. We commonly saw spikes both before and after leagues like IFL started as people ramped up to participate, and the after-affects when people no longer had a league, but still wanted to duel. And then we see a trickle off. We do know for a fact that some of the old-timers only come back for/during those events (and then also duel regulation), and commonly disappear soon after. The leagues have *helped* to create a sustained dueling interest over time.
It's absolutely true that we do see some impact *during* leagues/events that can affect regulation dueling. If a big DoF thing is going, those folks that do DoF *and* the other sports, may spend more time doing DoF for a while. Likewise for DoM and DoS. So...DoS numbers may dip here, and DoM rise there. Some people, who may only do one sport (or whatever sport is NOT the current league event) may see a drop in the regulation of their desired sport.
Kal touched on it with the free market stuff.
Let's say that a supermarket does great business in an area. So much so that another competitor decides to open a store as well. The problem is, there's only X number of people in the area. So...what happens is that instead of both stores doing great business, they both end up sharing a percentage of the original # of shoppers. Store A gets less business. Store B gets some business, but not the amount of business A had in the beginning.
It makes sense for the leagues to cooperatively negotiate when they happen. So that they are not trying to share the same "shoppers". At least not at the same time. It makes sense to space things out, and to leave gaps, where people can try new things. Like DoG. One of the things that (*probably*) hurt DoG was trying to squeeze into a period when other things were going on. For people that didn't try out DoG, I would argue you missed out on a fun matrix. It also makes sense to leave deliberate gaps so people can take a break. Write stories. Or do whatever else they like to do, when not competing in a league.
Kal giving IFL a break this year isn't necessarily a bad thing. Running a league is a *lot* of work. Kal's doing both the technical stuff, and the administrative stuff, plus he's doing what he does for RoH/DoS, etc. It's a lot of work. More than you might imagine (unless you've run a league of your own).
Anyway...back to why it's not a bad thing. It provides a gap where someone else can try something. IG War. Duel Assassin. Ragnarok. Tag Team. There are lots of ideas floating around. But only so many months in the year, and only so many duelers (who are active enough) to participate in them. This is an opportunity for someone else to step in with something, try out an idea, and contribute something to the community.